Esports Math
INDIVIDUAL TELEMETRY // FANTASY PROP ENGINE

CS2 Player Impact & Role-Adjusted Rating (RAR) Calculator

Deconstruct individual player performance and quantify normalized role efficiency. Calculates HLTV Rating 2.1, Impact Rating, Role-Adjusted Rating (RAR z-score), and expected kill prop distributions for fantasy markets.

PLAYER STATISTICAL TELEMETRY NORM: GAUSSIAN TIER-1
0.76
0.64
79.5
72.5%
24.0%

Multidimensional Tactical Radar

PROFILE: ENTRY FRAGGER
COMPOSITE EVALUATION TIER A STAR
SYNTHETIC RATING 2.1
1.18 Impact: 1.22
ROLE-ADJUSTED RATING (RAR)
+1.07 σ OUTPERFORMS ROLE
TIER-1 PRO PERCENTILE Top 14%
FAIR 22-ROUND PROP KILL LINE 16.5 Kills
FANTASY PROPS EDGE
P(Over 15.5 Kills): 59.2%
P(Under 17.5 Kills): 57.8%

Frequently Answered Questions

Why does raw HLTV Rating 2.0 unfairly penalize site anchors and IGLs?

Anchors face multi-man rushes with low survival probability (sub-35%), depressing their KAST% and DPR. In-game leaders sacrifice personal economy and position to call strategies. The Role-Adjusted Rating (RAR) standardizes raw performance against specific role distributions: RAR = (Rating - μ_role) / σ_role.

How does the calculator project Kill Prop Over/Under lines?

The model computes expected kills per regulation map by multiplying projected round duration (MR24 mean: 21.4 rounds) by the player's KPR, adjusted for role pace. It then fits a Negative Binomial distribution to identify mispriced lines in sportsbook fantasy markets.

What is the significance of the Radar Chart metrics?

The 5-axis radar chart displays normalized percentiles for Fragging (KPR), Damage (ADR), Impact (multikills & opening duels), Survival (inverted DPR), and Consistency (KAST%). Balanced stars exhibit symmetrical pentagons, while pure entry fraggers show high Impact with lower Survival.